Understand political, security, economic and operational environments before you decide. Each brief ends with a AHOMF Assessment and a 6–24 month forecast.
Elites, succession, institutions, legitimacy, elections.
Conflict, terrorism, crime, state capacity, force posture.
Fiscal, currency, debt, reforms, business climate.
Market entry, contracts, regulation, reputation, exit.
| COUNTRY (DEMO) | POLITICAL | SECURITY | ECONOMIC | AHOMF SCORE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameroon — transition & elite dynamics | High | High | Elevated | 72 / 100 |
| Sahel (Mali–Burkina–Niger) — juntas & insurgency | Very High | Very High | High | 84 / 100 |
| Nigeria / Gulf of Guinea — maritime & energy | Elevated | High | Elevated | 64 / 100 |
| Iran / Strait of Hormuz — escalation exposure | Very High | Very High | High | 86 / 100 |
