AHOMF 360° • CONTINUOUS STRATEGIC VIEWENFR

Global Strategic Outlook

AHOMF 360° in action: geopolitics, security, economics, technology, energy, resources and humanitarian risk — analysed as interactions, not isolated events.

September 2026 · Demo Edition

Five dynamics shaping the quarter

1 · Succession politics

Cameroon and the age of transitions

From Yaoundé to the Sahel: ageing incumbencies, military centrality and parallel economies of loyalty. Contagion risk is analytical, not automatic.

Watch: High
2 · Strike revolution

Missiles + drones = saturation

Air defences are being out-produced. The premium shifts to magazine depth, dispersal and industrial throughput.

Watch: Very High
3 · Resource statecraft

Gold corridors & critical minerals

Sahel–Central Africa mining deals fund security presence; Gulf and Chinese buyers reshape pricing power.

Watch: High
4 · Maritime chokepoints

Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, Gulf of Guinea

Insurance premia as early-warning indicator. Rerouting costs cascade into food and fuel inflation.

Watch: High
5 · Tech decoupling

Chips, AI compute & export controls

Technology is now a theatre of competition — with вторичные effects on Gulf and African digital infrastructure.

Watch: Elevated
AHOMF Assessment

Prepare for simultaneity

Risks no longer queue. Executives should plan for two simultaneous disruptions — e.g. succession shock + maritime closure.

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