RESEARCH • SSRN PREPRINT • MARITIME SECURITYENFR

Emerging Technologies and Maritime Peacebuilding in Africa

Rethinking Security Architectures Beyond Conventional Maritime Threats

How artificial intelligence, big data analytics, unmanned systems and satellite-enabled domain awareness can move African maritime security beyond a threat-centric model — toward governance, the blue economy and peacebuilding.

Author Andre Hubert Onana Mfege, PhD SSRN 7571915 Date 2026 · Preprint Status Not peer reviewed
Key Contribution

Beyond conventional threats: Existing frameworks — AIMS 2050, the Lome Charter and the Yaounde Architecture — remain constrained by limited maritime domain awareness, uneven governance and inadequate resources. This paper proposes embedding technological innovation inside the African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA) and Post-Conflict Reconstruction and Development (PCRD) mechanisms, so that technology complements rather than substitutes for governance.

Download PDF (SSRN 7571915) View on SSRN → Lire en francais →
Abstract

Africa’s maritime domain sits at the intersection of security, governance and development, shaped by both entrenched traditional threats and emerging risks. This article examines the potential roles of emerging technologies to advance maritime peacebuilding, focusing on how they can help security strategies move beyond conventional threats such as illegal fishing, trafficking and insurgency.

Drawing on the peace-security-development nexus, it analyses how technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data analytics and unmanned systems can strengthen maritime governance by improving domain awareness, reinforcing law enforcement and enabling inter-regional cooperation. Beyond operational gains, these technologies can enhance state legitimacy, improve resource management and support the blue economy in vulnerable or conflict-affected coastal states. Yet adoption also carries risks — widening digital divide, cybersecurity vulnerabilities, dependence on foreign suppliers, and potential militarization of maritime governance.

Keywords: maritime peacebuilding; emerging technologies; maritime security architecture; blue economy; Africa; peace and security governance.

The Argument in Brief

From naval capability to digital security governance

The future of maritime security will no longer rest on patrol vessels alone, but on the ability to embed emerging technologies within broader systems of governance, cooperation and peacebuilding.

Illustrative Scenario — 2030

Bakassi Peninsula, 24 July 2030, 15:06. A fishing community reports unidentified vessels entering Cameroon’s EEZ with AIS disabled. Simultaneously, an autonomous surveillance drone detects trafficking movements between Cameroon, Nigeria and Equatorial Guinea. Big-data systems cross-reference satellite imagery, vessel data and regional intelligence feeds within minutes. Whether authorities can act depends not on the alert, but on institutional capacity, legal frameworks and regional cooperation to convert information into effective action.

What Technologies Enable

Domain awareness: satellites, surveillance, AI and big-data analytics for real-time vessel tracking and detection of illicit activities (UNCTAD 2023).

Law enforcement: autonomous maritime systems and digital port infrastructure reinforcing interdiction and evidence.

Cooperation: data fusion across borders — Yaounde Architecture nodes sharing the same operational picture.

Development dividend: better resource management, protection of fisheries, and enabling the blue economy where livelihoods are at stake.

Risks If Adopted Poorly

Digital divide: uneven access widens the gap between well-equipped and capacity-constrained states.

Cybersecurity: more connected systems mean a larger attack surface for maritime and port infrastructure.

Supplier dependence: reliance on foreign providers for sensors, platforms and analytics.

Militarization: surveillance tools repurposed in ways that erode trust rather than build peace — governance safeguards are essential.

Framework Proposed

A maritime peacebuilding framework

PillarWhat ChangesGovernance Condition
Maritime Domain AwarenessAI + big data + unmanned systems fused with satellite and vessel data for real-time trackingLegal mandates for data sharing; protection of sources and privacy
Law Enforcement & Inter-regional CooperationFaster cross-border alerts across the Gulf of Guinea and beyondHarmonized procedures within Yaounde Architecture; inter-agency trust
State Legitimacy & Resource ManagementFisheries protection, reduced IUU fishing, revenue retentionTransparent allocation of blue-economy benefits to coastal communities
Embedding in APSA / PCRDTechnology serves peacebuilding, not only security operationsInclusive policy design; civilian oversight; human-security metrics

Method: qualitative analytical approach based on secondary sources, public policy documents and academic literature. The paper examines traditional maritime security challenges, then assesses innovation pathways already tested in more technologically advanced regions.

Why It Matters for Decision-Makers
For Gulf of Guinea States

Prioritize domain-awareness infrastructure that is maintainable and sovereign — not just platform acquisition. Pair sensors with legal frameworks for evidence and prosecution.

For Regional Organisations

Use the Yaounde Architecture as the integration layer: common data standards, shared analytics, and joint response protocols that outlive any single technology vendor.

For Investors & Partners

Assess maritime governance as a compound risk: port, fisheries, energy and security exposures move together. Peacebuilding metrics are leading indicators of investability.

Publication Details

Author: Andre Hubert Onana Mfege, PhD — Former Senior Military Officer and Diplomat; Secretary General, Africa Geopolitics & Strategies; Founder, PANGEA Intelligence Inc. · Cornwall, Ontario, Canada — aonanamfege@yahoo.com
Citation: Onana Mfege, A. H. (2026). Emerging Technologies and Maritime Peacebuilding in Africa: Rethinking Security Architectures Beyond Conventional Maritime Threats. SSRN 7571915. Preprint (not peer reviewed).
Declaration: ChatGPT (OpenAI) and Claude (Anthropic) used solely for brainstorming and clarity/grammar; no AI tool generated original research content, data, analysis or citations.
Sources: AIMS 2050, Lome Charter, Yaounde Architecture; Bueger et al. 2024; Talpur et al. 2025; Pohuntu & Ermolai 2024; Rozbiewska 2025; Ogbobode et al. 2025; UNCTAD 2023; Steff 2020.

← Back to Research Download PDF Request a Briefing →